Pair #3057

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-SIN

Will Jannik Sinner win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Jannik Sinner
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 199273

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.0800
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jannik Sinner wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR25TIASIN-SIN

Will Jannik Sinner win the Tiafoe vs Sinner : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Jannik Sinner
Expiration: 2026-03-25T20:00:00Z
Volume: 47169

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.0700
Last: 0.9300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jannik Sinner wins the Tiafoe vs Sinner professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Sinner must win every match including this quarterfinal against Tiafoe. If he wins the tournament, he must have won this match. Winning this quarterfinal does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue