Pair #3054

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 23877

YES ask: 0.3000
NO ask: 0.8000
Last: 0.2900

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Rules

If Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR25RYBPEG-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the Rybakina vs Pegula : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-03-25T17:00:00Z
Volume: 101646

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Elena Rybakina wins the Rybakina vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Rybakina must win every match including this quarterfinal against Pegula. If she wins the tournament, she must have won this match. Winning the quarterfinal alone does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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