Pair #3053

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOWOMEN-26-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the French Open?

Series: KXFOWOMEN
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 224354

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Elena Rybakina wins the 2026 Women's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR25RYBPEG-RYB

Will Elena Rybakina win the Rybakina vs Pegula : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Elena Rybakina
Expiration: 2026-03-25T17:00:00Z
Volume: 101646

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Elena Rybakina wins the Rybakina vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning a Miami Open quarterfinal, and winning a Miami Open quarterfinal does not imply winning the French Open. These are completely separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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