Pair #3052

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOWOMEN-26-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the WTA Miami Open?

Series: KXMOWOMEN
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-28T19:30:00Z
Volume: 9229

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the 2026 WTA Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXWTAMATCH-26MAR25RYBPEG-PEG

Will Jessica Pegula win the Rybakina vs Pegula : Quarterfinal match?

Series: KXWTAMATCH
Entity: Jessica Pegula
Expiration: 2026-03-25T17:00:00Z
Volume: 18814

YES ask: 0.3300
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jessica Pegula wins the Rybakina vs Pegula professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Miami Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-25T08:00:34Z

Reasoning: To win the WTA Miami Open, Pegula must win every match in the tournament, including this quarterfinal against Rybakina. If she wins the tournament, she must have won this match. However, winning this quarterfinal does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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