Pair #305

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-VGK

Will Vegas Golden Knights win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 60018

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-VGK

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 2580

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vegas Golden Knights wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best overall NHL record) does not require winning the Pacific Division specifically. And winning the Pacific Division does not imply having the best overall record. Neither direction is logically necessary.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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