Pair #3048

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-ISAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1130

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ISAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4189

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:51Z

Reasoning: Finishing in the top 5 necessarily means finishing in the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not guarantee top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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