Pair #3047

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-ISAL

Will Isaiah Salinda lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 6831

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ISAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Isaiah Salinda finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Isaiah Salinda
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4189

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Isaiah Salinda finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:51Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top-20 finish (player could miss the cut or fall outside top 20). A top-20 finish does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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