Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SRYD
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Ryder make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1525
YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5900
Last: 0.4700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sam Ryder has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SRYD
Will Sam Ryder lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7343
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sam Ryder is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:51Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut). Making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.6000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A