Pair #3043

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SRYD

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Ryder make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1525

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5900
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Ryder has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SRYD

Will Sam Ryder lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sam Ryder
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7343

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Ryder is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:51Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut). Making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.6000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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