Pair #3041

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-AEWA

Will A.J. Ewart win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5682

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-AEWA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4022

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:51Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily a top-20 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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