KXNHLWEST-26-VGK
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 779102
YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9000
Pair #304
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-VGK
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 24764
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
Rules
If the Vegas Golden Knights are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z
Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals requires having made the playoffs. Making the playoffs does not imply winning the Conference Finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-70.73%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.1100
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-74.95%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:32:06Z