Pair #3037

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-JKNA

Will Jake Knapp lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 43447

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32337

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:35Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 final finish. Finishing top 10 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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