Pair #3035

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-JKNA

Will Jake Knapp win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1071336

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-JKNA

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Jake Knapp finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jake Knapp
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 32337

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:35Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue