Pair #3031

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8159

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 49953

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:35Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 5 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue