Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SYEL
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16315
YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4300
Last: 0.6000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SYEL
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 49953
YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.8400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:35Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 (top 10 is a subset of top 20). The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2700
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A