Pair #303

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPACIFIC-26-VGK

Will Vegas Golden Knights win the NHL Pacific Division?

Series: KXNHLPACIFIC
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 60018

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-2026 NHL Pacific Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-VGK

Will the Vegas Golden Knights be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 24764

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Vegas Golden Knights are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the Pacific Division guarantees a playoff spot. Making the playoffs does not imply winning the division, as wild card teams also qualify.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:37:08Z

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