Pair #3029

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 8159

YES ask: 0.2600
NO ask: 0.7500
Last: 0.2600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16315

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4300
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:35Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 10 (top 5 is a subset of top 10). But finishing top 10 does not require finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue