Pair #3026

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-SYEL

Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 44463

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 16315

YES ask: 0.6000
NO ask: 0.4300
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:19Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require having led after Round 1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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