Pair #3025

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-SYEL

Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 425152

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-SYEL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sudarshan Yellamaraju finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 49953

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.2100
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sudarshan Yellamaraju finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:19Z

Reasoning: If Yellamaraju wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily top 20. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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