Pair #3016

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-DLIP

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will David Lipsky finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2302

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Lipsky finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-DLIP

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will David Lipsky finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3783

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If David Lipsky finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:19Z

Reasoning: If Lipsky finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. The reverse is not true — top 20 does not guarantee top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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