Pair #3011

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-DLIP

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will David Lipsky make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 843

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Lipsky has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-DLIP

Will David Lipsky lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: David Lipsky
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17710

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If David Lipsky is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:03Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not logically guarantee making the cut — a player could lead R1 and then perform poorly in R2 and miss the cut. And making the cut does not imply leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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