KXNHL-26-VGK
Will Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4658673
YES ask: 0.4200
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.4000
KXNHLWEST-26-VGK
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 779102
YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.1100
Last: 0.9000
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, VGK must come from the Western Conference and must have won the Western Conference Finals. The reverse is not true — winning the Conference Finals does not guarantee winning the Cup.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-99.28%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.5000
Days to maturity:
30
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-103.50%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T11:38:54Z