Pair #3004

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-BHOS

Will Beau Hossler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 116573

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Beau Hossler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-BHOS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Beau Hossler finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Beau Hossler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4786

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Beau Hossler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:08:03Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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