Pair #2995

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ATOS

Will Alejandro Tosti win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Alejandro Tosti
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 138201

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alejandro Tosti wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ATOS

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Alejandro Tosti make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Alejandro Tosti
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 4567

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alejandro Tosti has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:44Z

Reasoning: To win the tournament, a player must make the cut and play all four rounds. Winning logically necessitates having made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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