Pair #2989

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19988

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0300
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 42726

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:24Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20. But finishing top 20 does not guarantee finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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