Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-GWOO
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18101
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-GWOO
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 42726
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:24Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. But finishing top 20 does not guarantee finishing top 10.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0500
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A