Pair #2982

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-GWOO

Will Gary Woodland lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 45324

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19988

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0300
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:24Z

Reasoning: Leading after R1 does not guarantee a top-5 finish, and finishing top 5 does not require having led after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue