Pair #2981

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-GWOO

Will Gary Woodland lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 45324

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18101

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:24Z

Reasoning: Leading after R1 does not guarantee a top-10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require having led after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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