Pair #2980

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 11241

YES ask: 0.9900
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.6500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-GWOO

Will Gary Woodland lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 45324

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:24Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (could collapse in R2), and making the cut does not require having led after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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