Pair #298

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHL-26-VGK

Will Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?

Series: KXNHL
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 7174554

YES ask: 0.2300
NO ask: 0.7900
Last: 0.2300

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-VGK

Will the Vegas Golden Knights be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 24764

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Vegas Golden Knights are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup Finals requires having qualified for the playoffs. The reverse is not true — making the playoffs does not imply winning the Cup.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.7900 + ~$0.0116 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:34:22Z

Authenticate

← Back to review queue