KXNHL-26-VGK
Will Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 4658673
YES ask: 0.4200
NO ask: 0.6000
Last: 0.4000
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-VGK
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 24764
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z
Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup Finals requires having qualified for the playoffs. The reverse is not true — making the playoffs does not imply winning the Cup.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-99.60%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.6000
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-103.82%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:34:22Z