Antecedent (if this happens)
KXNHL-26-VGK
Will Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 7174554
YES ask: 0.2300
NO ask: 0.7900
Last: 0.2300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-VGK
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Vegas Golden Knights
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 24764
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If the Vegas Golden Knights are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z
Code version: N/A
Reasoning: Winning the Stanley Cup Finals requires having qualified for the playoffs. The reverse is not true — making the playoffs does not imply winning the Cup.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees):
N/A
Cost:
$1.7900
+ ~$0.0116 est. fees
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A