Pair #2978

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-GWOO

Will Gary Woodland win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2897711

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 19988

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.0300
Last: 0.9700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:09Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 5. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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