Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-GWOO
Will Gary Woodland win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2897711
YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Gary Woodland wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-GWOO
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18101
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:09Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.5300
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A