Pair #2977

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-GWOO

Will Gary Woodland win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2897711

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-GWOO

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Gary Woodland finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Gary Woodland
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18101

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0500
Last: 0.9500

View on Kalshi

Rules If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:09Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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