Pair #2973

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-RFOW

Will Rickie Fowler lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 60403

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rickie Fowler is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RFOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17415

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:09Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate a top 20 finish (could miss cut or fade badly). Finishing top 20 does not necessitate leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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