Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-RFOW
Will Rickie Fowler win the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 587153
YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rickie Fowler wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RFOW
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rickie Fowler finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rickie Fowler
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17415
YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:07:09Z
Reasoning: Winning the tournament means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.4800
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A