Pair #297

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLATLANTIC-26-BUF

Will Buffalo Sabres win the NHL Atlantic Division?

Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Buffalo Sabres
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 68121

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPRES-26-BUF

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Buffalo Sabres
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 9013

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Buffalo Sabres wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy (best overall record) does not require winning the Atlantic Division specifically — another division team could have a better record. And winning the Atlantic Division does not imply winning the President's Trophy. Neither direction is logically necessary.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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