Pair #2964

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MTHO

Will Michael Thorbjornsen lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 18115

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Thorbjornsen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-MTHO

Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Thorbjornsen
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1596008

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Thorbjornsen wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:06:53Z

Reasoning: Winning the tournament does not require leading after Round 1. Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee winning the tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue