Pair #2958

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR24TORBOS-TOR

Toronto at Boston Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TOR Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-03-25T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3686

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.6300
Last: 0.3800

View on Kalshi

Rules If TOR Maple Leafs wins the Toronto at Boston professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR25NYRTOR-TOR

New York R at Toronto Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TOR Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-03-26T02:30:00Z
Volume: 13976

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If TOR Maple Leafs wins the New York R at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:06:53Z

Reasoning: These are two separate Toronto games on different dates against different opponents. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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