Pair #2957

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR24MINTB-TB

Minnesota at Tampa Bay Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-03-25T02:30:00Z
Volume: 5466

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Minnesota at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLGAME-26MAR26SEATB-TB

Seattle at Tampa Bay Winner?

Series: KXNHLGAME
Entity: TB Lightning
Expiration: 2026-03-27T02:00:00Z
Volume: 23165

YES ask: 0.7200
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules If TB Lightning wins the Seattle at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:06:53Z

Reasoning: These are two separate Tampa Bay games on different dates against different opponents. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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