Pair #295

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLPRES-26-BUF

Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Pro Hockey President's Trophy?

Series: KXNHLPRES
Entity: Buffalo Sabres
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 9013

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Buffalo Sabres wins the Pro Hockey President's Trophy, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-BUF

Will the Buffalo Sabres be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Buffalo Sabres
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 65281

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Buffalo Sabres are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:06:10Z

Reasoning: Winning the President's Trophy means having the best record in the NHL, which guarantees a playoff spot. However, making the playoffs does not imply winning the President's Trophy.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $2.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:38:40Z

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