Pair #294

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLATLANTIC-26-BUF

Will Buffalo Sabres win the NHL Atlantic Division?

Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Buffalo Sabres
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 68121

YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9900

View on Kalshi

Rules If the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLEAST-26-BUF

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Buffalo Sabres
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 927757

YES ask: 0.1600
NO ask: 0.8500
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Buffalo Sabres wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:05:53Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals does not require winning the Atlantic Division (wild card teams can advance to and win the conference finals), and winning the Atlantic Division does not guarantee winning the Eastern Conference Finals.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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