Pair #2906

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXTGLCHAMPION-26-LA

Will Los Angeles Golf Club win the Tomorrow's Golf League Championship?

Series: KXTGLCHAMPION
Entity: Los Angeles Golf Club
Expiration: 2026-03-25T14:00:00Z
Volume: 49431

YES ask: 0.8100
NO ask: 0.2200
Last: 0.7800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles Golf Club wins the 2026 Tomorrow's Golf League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXTGLMATCH-26MAR24LAJL-LA

Will Los Angeles Golf Club win the Los Angeles Golf Club vs Jupiter Links Golf Club match?

Series: KXTGLMATCH
Entity: Los Angeles Golf Club
Expiration: 2026-03-25T02:00:00Z
Volume: 4506

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.3900
Last: 0.6400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Los Angeles Golf Club wins the Los Angeles Golf Club vs Jupiter Links Golf Club professional Tomorrow's Golf League (TGL) golf match originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: medium
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:44Z

Reasoning: If LA Golf Club wins the TGL Championship, they must have won all their required matches along the way. However, if the Mar 24 match is a regular season match rather than a playoff match, the champion might not have needed to win it. TGL format details are somewhat ambiguous, so medium confidence — but winning the championship very likely necessitates winning this specific scheduled match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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