Pair #2905

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24LEHFRI-FRI

Will Taylor Fritz win the Lehecka vs Fritz : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Taylor Fritz
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 141683

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Fritz wins the Lehecka vs Fritz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR24LEHFRI-1-FRI

Will Taylor Fritz win set 1 in the Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritz match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Taylor Fritz
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 683

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Fritz wins set 1 in the Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:44Z

Reasoning: Fritz can win the match without winning set 1 (e.g., losing set 1 then winning sets 2 and 3). Fritz can win set 1 without winning the overall match. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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