Pair #2904

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPSETWINNER-26MAR24LEHFRI-1-FRI

Will Taylor Fritz win set 1 in the Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritz match

Series: KXATPSETWINNER
Entity: Taylor Fritz
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 683

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.6200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Fritz wins set 1 in the Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-FRI

Will Taylor Fritz win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Taylor Fritz
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 31035

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Taylor Fritz wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open has no logical connection to winning set 1 of a Miami Open R16 match. These are entirely separate events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.4300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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