Pair #2899

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-FRI

Will Taylor Fritz win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Taylor Fritz
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 22415

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Taylor Fritz wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24LEHFRI-FRI

Will Taylor Fritz win the Lehecka vs Fritz : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Taylor Fritz
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 141683

YES ask: 0.6800
NO ask: 0.3300
Last: 0.6800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Taylor Fritz wins the Lehecka vs Fritz professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:44Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Fritz must win every match including the Round of 16 match against Lehecka. If he wins the tournament, he necessarily won that R16 match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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