Pair #2897

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-KOR

Will Sebastian Korda win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Sebastian Korda
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 23158

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sebastian Korda wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24KORLAN-KOR

Will Sebastian Korda win the Korda vs Landaluce : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Sebastian Korda
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 19824

YES ask: 0.7800
NO ask: 0.2300
Last: 0.7800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sebastian Korda wins the Korda vs Landaluce professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:44Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Korda must win every match including the Round of 16 match against Landaluce. If he wins the tournament, he necessarily won that R16 match.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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