Pair #2896

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24HUMCER-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the Humbert vs Cerundolo : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 13402

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Francisco Cerundolo wins the Humbert vs Cerundolo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 927558

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Francisco Cerundolo wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the French Open does not require winning a Miami Open R16 match, and winning a Miami Open R16 match does not require winning the French Open. These are entirely separate tournaments.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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