Pair #2895

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 35762

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

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Rules

If Francisco Cerundolo wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24HUMCER-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the Humbert vs Cerundolo : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 13402

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Francisco Cerundolo wins the Humbert vs Cerundolo professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:24Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Cerundolo must win every match including the Round of 16 against Humbert. Winning the tournament necessarily means he won that match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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