Pair #2894

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXFOMEN-26-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 927558

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Francisco Cerundolo wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXMOMEN-26-CER

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Francisco Cerundolo
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 35762

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Francisco Cerundolo wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:24Z

Reasoning: The ATP Miami Open and the French Open are completely separate tournaments. Winning one does not logically necessitate winning the other in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: 50.32% PROFITABLE
Cost: $0.9900
Days to maturity: 9
Hurdle yield: 4.22%
Excess yield: +46.10% PROFITABLE

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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