Pair #2893

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24HALZVE-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the Halys vs Zverev : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-25T03:30:00Z
Volume: 4039

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the Halys vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 1626747

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.6300
Last: 0.3900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:24Z

Reasoning: The French Open and the ATP Miami Open are separate tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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