Pair #2891

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXMOMEN-26-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the ATP Miami Open?

Series: KXMOMEN
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-29T19:30:00Z
Volume: 41460

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Zverev wins the 2026 ATP Miami Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24HALZVE-ZVE

Will Alexander Zverev win the Halys vs Zverev : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Alexander Zverev
Expiration: 2026-03-25T03:30:00Z
Volume: 4039

YES ask: 0.8700
NO ask: 0.1400
Last: 0.8700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alexander Zverev wins the Halys vs Zverev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:24Z

Reasoning: To win the ATP Miami Open, Zverev must win every match including the Round of 16 against Halys. Winning the tournament necessarily means he won that match. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.7900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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