Pair #2890

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXATPMATCH-26MAR24VACFIL-FIL

Will Arthur Fils win the Vacherot vs Fils : Round Of 16 match?

Series: KXATPMATCH
Entity: Arthur Fils
Expiration: 2026-03-24T14:00:00Z
Volume: 16469

YES ask: 0.7100
NO ask: 0.3000
Last: 0.7100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Arthur Fils wins the Vacherot vs Fils professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Miami Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXFOMEN-26-FIL

Will Arthur Fils win the French Open?

Series: KXFOMEN
Entity: Arthur Fils
Expiration: 2026-06-10T17:00:00Z
Volume: 397662

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Arthur Fils wins the 2026 Men's French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-24T08:05:24Z

Reasoning: The French Open and ATP Miami Open are separate tournaments. No logical implication in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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